We are in a fluid situation as #H7N9 investigations find more clues. So far, there is little evidence of any human-to-human transmission
But we have seen no human-to-human transmission - even suspected - outside of very close personal contacts, so no sustained H2H
..Investigations into the possible sources of infection and reservoirs of the virus are ongoing. Until the source of infection has been identified, it is expected that there will be further cases of human infection with the virus in China.
..WHO does not advise special screening at points of entry with regard to this event, nor does it recommend that any travel or trade restrictions be applied... http://www.who.int/csr/don/2013_04_16/en/index.html
I see you came up with an official name for H7N9. Trying to beat the rush, eh? That won't matter either, because they will tie it in to China anyway, prolly Shanghai flu or some such moniker.
You have a cozy relationship with the WHO and are spoon feeding roughly 5 cases a day for the past week, and now they are up to about 8-10. What are you going to say when it is up to 20 cases a day?
When WHO get to China, are you going to show them you around to all the labs and tell them how wonderful everything is??.. Give a few samples and keep a few?Do you intend to actually and factually tell us what the hell is going on there?
Or will this outbreak be like the new coronavirus? DISAPEARING FROM ALL MEDIA? This is exactly what happened to the new H5N1 strain that was, up to a month ago killing every duck and chicken for miles around in Indonesia. I guess that just flew away too.
Now we have an asymptomatic case and there are more of them that won't be tested. New provinces..plus some H1N1, dead pigs and dogs and chickens, sparrows and some H5N1 floating around. You got quite a viral stew brewin' up there! When are you gonna comment on that?
Tell ya what...this strain has already left china. No way around it. I am wondering when are you gonna let the WHO tell us?...now you are trying to tell me..
1.So far, there is little evidence of any human-to-human transmission.
Prove it. What LITTLE evidence do you have? Should I link all the highly suspected cases for you? We both know there is no need for that, but they are on this blog, and a couple others..and you know that too.
2.human-to-human transmission may occur where there is close contact between cases and other individuals.
It MAY occur? So you just don't know ANYTHING ABOUT IT, huh? Already asymptomatic cases and hospitals refusing to test. Rumors shot down, only to be verified 2 days later,"Beijing",..but you just don't know, it MAY occur?
3. But we have seen no human-to-human transmission - even suspected - outside of very close personal contacts, so no sustained H2H.
Again, none even SUSPECTED outside of very personal close contacts.. I guess that is why all the Tamiflu being passed out..just in case.
How much of that stuff has gone out? One report on this blog says 130 were on it, involving just 1 case. Good thing you have 200 million doses!That stuff is adding up quick. lets just say for every case, plus contacts, adds up to a lot.
If you are so certain to tell us that there is not even a suspected case outside of confirmed cases, why all the meds getting passed around? Like to every nurse, dr and ambulance driver..contact, poultry dealer, butcher, or the next person that runs up with a cough or fever.
4.Until the source of infection has been identified, it is expected that there will be further cases
Well, this sounds very dishonest. You mean to tell us..YOU DON'T KNOW THE SOURCE OF INFECTION? How about a hint? Does it walk on 2 or 4 legs? Have wings or a snout? Can it tell you it feels bad and can't breath?
77 Cases in a few weeks, but you don't know how its spread?? Give us a break! You hid this outbreak for 3 weeks!
How much longer do you expect people to believe there has been NO h2h? You don't know how it is spreading, but you expect more cases.
How do you know there will be more cases? NOT ALL CASES HAVE HAD CONTACT WITH CHICKENS, SO THAT THEORY IS OUT.
5...WHO does not advise special screening at points of entry with regard to this event, nor does it recommend that any travel or trade restrictions be applied... http://www.who.int/csr/don/2013_04_16/en/index.html
Why do you even say that? Have you ever even done it? Most of the surrounding countries are screening everyone OR SOON WILL BE.
Since your reports to the WHO are so vague and ambiguous, I took the liberty of writing one up for you.
It is good for 3 weeks. Then I will write you a new one.
update statement for you
We expect more cases
But don't know where they are coming from.
There has been no H2H,
BUT THERE MIGHT HAVE BEEN, OR MIGHT BE, IN CERTAIN CIRCUMSTANCES.
In 1 month, 94 confirmed,31 dead, from a novel strain of bird flu,
almost all,"75%", in extremely severe condition.
H7N9 Is now in 8 provinces, HK and Taiwan.
There have been a few mild cases, some without any symptoms.
It will be gone by summer.
There will be a vaccine in 3 months.
Recommendations
Eat all the chicken and pork you can.
Wash your hands.
Take Tamiflu and stay home.
There is no sustained H2H that we know of..and we don't recommend any travel restrictions.
